Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.540925 1.610629 1.682166 1.761203 1.846227 1.935108 2.035254
2026-01-04 1.404888 1.503539 1.608649 1.729486 1.865204 2.013679 2.189431
2026-01-11 1.320680 1.440998 1.573237 1.730490 1.913895 2.122943 2.382037
2026-01-18 1.261710 1.399486 1.555011 1.745541 1.975444 2.247647 2.600183
2026-01-25 1.196724 1.344975 1.515970 1.730644 1.997188 2.323270 2.762365
2026-02-01 1.134122 1.288371 1.469468 1.701521 1.996729 2.368285 2.886280
2026-02-08 1.070323 1.226248 1.411910 1.653761 1.967605 2.372060 2.952799
2026-02-15 1.024998 1.183888 1.375661 1.629508 1.965433 2.408711 3.064677
2026-02-22 0.992804 1.155817 1.355201 1.623350 1.985250 2.474483 3.221571
2026-03-01 0.958431 1.123256 1.327134 1.605072 1.986617 2.513459 3.340937
2026-03-08 0.912301 1.073955 1.275423 1.552604 1.937544 2.476906 3.340923
2026-03-15 0.888240 1.051827 1.257762 1.544597 1.949256 2.527732 3.480229
2026-03-22 0.873060 1.041897 1.257273 1.562216 2.001628 2.647270 3.752031
2026-03-29 0.845923 1.015529 1.234105 1.547551 2.006813 2.696617 3.914725
2026-04-05 0.828640 1.001464 1.226771 1.554611 2.044311 2.799055 4.183242
2026-04-12 0.815728 0.992617 1.225969 1.570673 2.096084 2.928476 4.519701
2026-04-19 0.794360 0.971561 1.207408 1.559798 2.105307 2.988258 4.732873
2026-04-26 0.770001 0.945606 1.180993 1.535944 2.092375 3.009025 4.871205
2026-05-03 0.741665 0.913370 1.144664 1.495682 2.050825 2.976840 4.895975
2026-05-10 0.721282 0.891470 1.122171 1.475192 2.039933 2.997497 5.035432
2026-05-17 0.706889 0.877386 1.110234 1.470048 2.053602 3.062860 5.282412
2026-05-24 0.690048 0.859396 1.092064 1.454463 2.048819 3.093704 5.455920
2026-05-31 0.665063 0.829419 1.055775 1.409481 1.992241 3.023660 5.382435